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Tony’s Week 9 Greater Houston Area (GHA) Preview

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Tony’s district-by-district look at the districts containing at least one greater Houston area team going in to Week 9.

If I thought Week 7 was crazy, Week 8 was even crazier with upsets happening left and right.

Given the nature of some of the upsets, I’m happy with my 78%-win rate, but I’m more used to being over 80%. Let’s try to get back on track this week.


Now let’s get down to looking at the Week 8 results and what to look for in Week 9.

 

 

 

14-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Cy Ranch, Cy Woods, Tomball Memorial, Langham Creek competing for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

Cy Woods, Langham Creek, Bryan, Tomball Memorial all won as expected, so no reason to change anything.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Cy Ranch, Cy Woods, Tomball Memorial, Langham Creek competing for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

This week Tomball Memorial is heavily favored over Cy Park. Cy Ranch is heavily favored over Cy Woods. In a game I don’t see having playoff implications, Bryan is a slight favorite over Cy Springs.

The key game this week is Langham Creek/ Cy Lakes. Calpreps favors Langham Creek by 8. Massey Ratings favors Langham Creek by 18. I’ll take Langham Creek by 10.

I’ll be at the Tomball Memorial/ Cy Park & Cy Ranch/ Cy Woods games. Follow me on Twitter (@txhsfb) for updates.

 

 

 

15-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Klein Collins, 2-The Woodlands, 3-Klein Oak, 4-Klein.

The Woodlands and Klein Oak won as expected. Klein and Klein Cain pulled off big upsets.

With the Klein upset of Klein Collins, I’ll have to change the order up a little bit.

My Predicted Order is Now: Klein Collin and The Woodlands competing for 1st and 2nd, 3- Klein Oak, 4-Klein.

This week Klein Cain is heavily favored over Conroe. Klein is heavily favored over Klein Forest. Oak Ridge is heavily favored over Klein Cain. Klein Oak is double-digit favorite over College Park.

 

 

 

16-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Westfield, with Davis, Eisenhower, Nimitz, DeKaney, and Spring competing for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

Westfield, Spring, and Eisenhower won as expected. Davis pulled off the upset over DeKaney.

Those results provide some clarity on the order.

My Predicted Order is Now: 1-Westfield, Davis and Eisenhower competing for 2nd and 3rd, Spring and Nimitz competing for 4th (Nimitz holds the head-to-head tie-breaker).

This week Westfield is heavily favored over Aldine. Spring is favored over DeKaney. Nimitz is favored over MacArthur.

The key game this week is Davis/ Eisenhower. Calpreps favors Davis by 1. Massey Ratings favors Davis by 5. Give me Davis by 3.

 

 

 

17-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Cy Falls, 2- Jersey Village, 3-Cy Ridge, 4-Cy Creek.

Cy Fair, Cy Ridge, and Memorial all won as expected. Jersey Village pulled off the upset over Cy Falls.

My Predicted Order is Now: 1-Jersey Village, 2-Cy Falls, 3-Cy Ridge, 4-Cy Creek.

This Week Cy Fair is heavily favored over Spring Woods. Cy Creek is heavily favored over Northbrook. Cy Falls is a favorite over Stratford. In a game with no expected playoff implications, Cy Ridge is favored over Memorial.

 

 

 

18-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Lamar, 2-Bellaire, 3-Chavez, with Heights and Westside competing for 4th.

Lamar and Chavez won as expected. And Heights won their big showdown against Westside.

My Predicted Order is Now: 1-Lamar, 2-Bellaire, 3-Chavez, 4-Heights

This week Heights is on a bye week. Lamar is heavily favored over Westbury. Chavez is heavily favored over Sam Houston.

The key game is Bellaire/ Westside. Calpreps favors Bellaire by 10. Massey Ratings favors Bellaire by 6. Give me Bellaire by 7.

 

 

 

19-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Katy, 2-Tompkins, 3-Seven Lakes, 4-Taylor, 5-Cinco Ranch.

Katy, Taylor, and Tompkins all won as expected through the margin of victory in the Taylor and Tompkins games was closer than expected.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Katy, 2-Tompkins, 3-Seven Lakes, 4-Taylor, 5-Cinco Ranch.

This week Morton Ranch is on the bye week. Katy is heavily favored over Cinco Ranch. Seven Lakes is favored over Mayde Creek.

The key game this week is Tompkins/ Taylor. Calpreps favors Tompkins by 9.  Massey Ratings favors Tompkins by 1. Give me Tompkins by 3.

I’ll be at the Katy/ Cinco Ranch game. Follow me on Twitter (@txhsfb) for updates.

 

 

 

20-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Ridge Point, 2-Bush, 3-Travis, 4-Dulles, 5-Elkins.

Dulles and Ridge Point won as expected. Elkins won in an upset over Bush. And a the toss game with no playoff implications, Austin beat Clements.

With the Elkins upset over Bush and the continued improvement of Dulles and Travis, time for a major shape up in the predicted order behind Ridge Point.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Ridge Point, 2-Travis, Dulles and Elkins competing for 4th, 5-Bush.

This week Travis is heavily favored over Clements. In a game I don’t see having playoff implications, Austin is a slight favorite over Kempner.

Two key games this week: Ridge Point/ Elkins and Dulles/ Bush.

Ridge Point/ Elkins: Calpreps favors Ridge Point by 7. Massey Ratings favors Ridge Point by 17. Give me Ridge Point by 10.

Dulles/ Bush: Calpreps favors Dulles by 4. Massey Ratings favors Dulles by 8. Give me Dulles by 7.

 

 

 

21-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-North Shore, 2-West Brook, 3-CE King, 4-Deer Park, 5-Beaumont United.

North Shore, West Brook, Beaumont United, and CE King all won as expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-North Shore, 2-West Brook, 3-CE King, 4-Deer Park, 5-Beaumont United.

This week North Shore is heavily favored over West Brook. In a game without playoff implications, Deer Park is heavily favored over Baytown Sterling. CE King is a slight favorite over CE King. In another game without playoff implications, Beaumont United is slightly favored over La Porte.

 

 

 

22-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Atascocita, 2-Kingwood, 3-Summer Creek, 4-South Houston.

Astascocita, Pasadena Memorial, and Humble all won as expected. In a mild upset, Summer Creek beat Kingwood.

And with that upset, I’ll flop Summer Creek and Kingwood in the predicted order.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Atascocita, 2-Summer Creek, 3-Kingwood, 4-South Houston.

This Week Humble is on a bye. Kingwood is heavily favored over Pasadena. Pasadena Dobie is heavily favored over Sam Rayburn. South Houston is favored over Pasadena Memorial. Atascocita is favored over Summer Creek.

 

 

 

23-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order:  Strake Jesuit and Pearland competing for 1st and 2nd,3-Hastings, with George Ranch and Dawson competing for 4th.

Taylor and Dawson won as expected. In a big upset, Taylor beat Hastings. And in a mild upset Brazoswood beat Elsik.

Obviously, the results clarify the top of the district. But after that is a big jumble of 4 teams tied at 2-2 for 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 6th.

Pearland is the obvious favorite to win the district and Strake Jesuit is clearly second. After that, given the remaining games and the results to-date, I now have Dawson, Hastings, and Taylor competing for 3rd, 4th, and 5th.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Pearland, 2-Strake Jesuit, with Dawson, Hastings, and Taylor competing for 3rd and 4th.

This week Pearland, Strake Jesuit, and George Ranch are heavily favored.

The key game this week is Dawson/ Taylor. Calpreps favors Dawson by 16. Massey Rating favors Dawson by 13. Give me Dawson by 10.

 

 

 

24-6A

Last Week’s Predicted Order:  1-Dickson, 2-Clear Springs, 3-Clear Lake, with Clear Brook and Clear Creek competing for 4th.

Clear Falls and Clear Lakes won as expected. In a major upset Clear Springs beat Dickinson.

With that upset, I’ll flop the teams at 1st and 2nd.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Clear Springs, 2-Dickinson, 3-Clear Lake, with Clear Brook and Clear Creek competing for 4th.

This Week Clear Creek is on a bye. Clear Springs is heavily favored over Alvin. Dickinson is heavily favored over Clear Brook.

The key game this week is Clear Lake/ Clear Falls. Calpreps favors Clear Lake by 2. Massey Rating favors Clear Lake by 3. Give me Clear Lake by 3.

 

 

 

8-5AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order:  1- Lufkin, 2- College Station, 3-Magnolia West, with Magnolia and Tomball competing for 4th.

Lufkin, Magnolia West, Willis, and College Station won as expected thought a few of the margins were closer than expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1- Lufkin, 2- College Station, 3-Magnolia West, with Magnolia and Tomball competing for 4th.

This week Lukfin and College Station are heavily favored. In a game without playoff implication, Waller is a slight favorite over Caney Creek.

The key game this week is Magnolia/ Tomball. Calpreps favors Magnolia by 9. Massey Ratings favors Magnolia by 8/ Give me Magnolia by 10.

 

 

 

9-5AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-New Caney, 2-Port Arthur Memorial, 3-Porter, 4-Kingwood Park.

Goose Creek Memorial, New Caney, Port Arthur Memorial, and Austin all won as expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-New Caney, 2-Port Arthur Memorial, 3-Porter, 4-Kingwood Park.

This week New Caney is heavily favored over Austin. Porter is heavily favored over Wisdom. Port Arthur Memorial is favored over Kingwood Park. In a game without playoff implications, Goose Creek Memorial is a slight favorite over Galena Park.

I’ll be at the Port Arthur Memorial/ Kingwood Park game. Follow me on Twitter (@txhsfb) for updates.

 

 

 

10-5AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1- Shadow Creek, with Foster, Angleton, and Friendswood competing for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

Shadow Creek, Angleton, Terry, and Hightower all won as expected thought some of the margins were closer than expected.

Looking at the remaining games, it’s time to shake up the order a bit with three weeks to go.

My Predicted Order Now: 1- Shadow Creek, 2-Angleton, 3-Foster, with Friendswood and Hightower competing for 4th.

This week Angleton is heavily favored over Texas City. Shadow Creek is heavily favored over Foster. In a game without playoff implication Terry is a slight favorite over Galveston Ball.

The key game this week is Friendswood/ Hightower and should decide the 4th playoff spot. Calpreps favors Friendswood by 8. Massey Ratings favors Friendswood by 6. Give me Friendswood by 7.

 

 

 

10-5AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Huntsville, 2-A&M Consolidated, 3-Lamar Consolidated, 4-Montgomery.

Huntsville, A&M Consolidated, Montgomery, and Rudder all won as expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Huntsville, 2-A&M Consolidated, 3-Lamar Consolidated, 4-Montgomery.

This week Huntsville is heavily favored on Paetow. A&M Consolidated is heavily favored over Lake Creek. Rudder is heavily favored over Cleveland.

The key game this week is Lamar Consolidated/ Montgomery. The winner should finish 3rd in district. Calpreps favors Lamar Consolidated by 15. Massey Ratings favors Montgomery by 10. Give me Lamar Consolidated by 14.

 

 

 

11-5AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Fort Bend Marshall, 2-Manvel, 3- Willowridge, 4- Houston Sterling.

Marshall, Sterling, and Willowridge all won as expected. Northside beat Waltrip by 7 in a toss-up game.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Fort Bend Marshall, 2-Manvel, 3- Willowridge, 4- Houston Sterling.

This week Fort Bend Marshall is on a bye. Manvel is heavily favored over Sterling. Willowridge is heavily favored over Milby. Northside is heavily favored over Sharpstown. In a game without playoff implications Madison is a slight favorite over Waltrip.

 

 

 

12-5AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Port Neches-Groves, 2- Crosby, 3-Nederland, with Santa Fe and Barbers Hill competing for 4th.

Nederland and Port Neches-Groves won as expected.  Santa Fe pulled off a big upset over Crosby. Barbers Hill beat Vidor by 15.

Time to change up the order a good bit.

My Predicted Order Now: Port Neches-Groves and Nederland competing for 1st and 2nd, 3-Crosby, Barbers Hill and Santa Few competing for 4th.

This week Crosby is a significant favorite over Barbers Hill. Nederland is favored by 10 over Vidor. Port Neches-Groves is favored by 10 over Santa Fe. In a game without playoff implications, Dayton and Baytown Lee is too close to call.

 

 

 

11-4AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: Splendora and Lumberton competing for 1st and 2nd, 3- Huffman Hargrave, 4-Little Cypress-Mauriceville.

Lumberton, Huffman Hargrave, and Splendora all won last week.

My Predicted Order Remains: Splendora and Lumberton competing for 1st and 2nd, 3- Huffman Hargrave, 4-Little Cypress-Mauriceville.

This week Little Cypress-Mauriceville is heavily favored over Livingston. Lumberton is favored over Bridge City. Splendors is favored over Huffman Hargrave.

 

 

 

12-4AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Wheatley, 2-Stafford, 3- Navasota, with Worthing, Yates, and Furr competing for 4th.

In what were expected to close games, Furr beat Worthing by 22 and Navasota beat Stafford by 2. In an upset, Yates beat Wheatley by 11.

This district is a jumbled mess right now. I feel confident on Navasota , Wheatley, and Stafford making the playoffs. Furr, Yates should battle for fourth. So changing the order here yet again.

My Predicted Order Now: Navasota and Wheatley competing for 1st and 2nd. 3- Stafford, Furr and Yates competing for 4th.

This week Wheatley is on a bye. Navasota should the favorite over Yates. In a game I don’t see have playoff implications, North Forest should be favorite over Worthing.

The key game this week is Stafford/ Furr; Calpreps favors Stafford by 11. Massey Rating favors Stafford by 19. Give me Stafford by 14.

 

 

 

13-4AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Sealy, with Needville, Bay City, Brazosport, Bay City, and El Campo competing for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

Sealy and Columbia won as expected. In the key game from last week Brazosports beat Bay City by 1.

Sealy leads the district at 4-0. Columbia, Needville, and Brazoport are all 2-1 with Bay City at 2-2. It’s hard for me to find a path to playoff spot for El Campo at this point, so I’ll drop them out of competing for the 4th spot.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Sealy, with Needville, Bay City, Brazosport, and Bay City competing for 2nd, 3rd, and 4th.

This week El Campo is on a bye. Needville is heavily favored over Fulshear. Sealy is favored over Bay City.

The kay game this week is Columbia/ Brazosport. Calpreps favors Columbia by 6. Massey Ratings favors Columbia by 7. Give me Columbia by 7.

 

 

 

9-4AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Jasper, 2-Center, 3-Shepherd, 4-Tarkington.

Jason and Shepherd post wins as expected.

No changes to the order.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Jasper, 2-Center, 3-Shepherd, 4-Tarkington.

This week Jasper is on a bye. Center is favored by 2 scores over Shepherd. And Tarkington is favored by double-digits over Huntington.

 

 

 

10-4AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-West Orange-Stark, 2-Silsbee, with Liberty and Hamshire-Fannett competing for 3rd and 4th.

Last week Silsbee beat Hardin-Jefferson as expected. Liberty won the key game (the battle for 3rd) by 3 over Hamshire-Fannett.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-West Orange-Stark, 2-Silsbee, 3-Liberty, 4-Hamshire-Fannet.

This week Hamshire-Fannett is on a bye. West Orange-Stark is heavily favored over Hardin-Jefferson. Silsbee is favored over Liberty.

 

 

 

11-4AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Sweeny, Wharton and La Marque competing for 2nd and 3rd, 4- Kashmere.

La Marque won as expected. But Wharton stunned Sweeny winning by 2. And Washington pulled off the upset over Kashmere.

Those results move Wharton into first at 2-0 and there are now four teams (Sweeny, La Marque, Kashmere, and Washington tied for 2nd).

And it’s time to adjust the order. Wharton is now a heavy favorite to win district. Sweeny slots into 2nd. La Marque 3rd. Flop Washington into the 4th spot after their win over Kashmere.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Wharton, 2-Sweeny, 3-La Marque, 4-Washington.

This week Sweeny is heavily favored over Scarborough. Wharton is heavily favored over Kashmere. La Marque is heavily favored over Washington.

 

 

12-4AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: Giddings and Bellville competing for 1st and 2nd, 3-La Grange, 4-Caldwell.

Giddings beat Bellville in overtime in the game that should decide the district title. Smithville won over Royal as expected. La Grange beat Caldwell by 6.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Giddings, 2-Bellville, 3-La Grange, 4-Caldwell.

This week Giddings is heavily favored over Royal. Bellville is heavily favored over Caldwell. La Grange is favored over Smithville.

 

 

 

11-3AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Franklin, 2-Diboll, 3-Crockett, 4-Coldpsring.

Diboll and Crockett won as expected. Is a pick ’em game Trinity bested Westwood.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Franklin, 2-Diboll, 3-Crockett, 4-Coldpsring.

This week Coldspring is on a bye. Franklin is heavily favored over Trinity. Diboll is heavily favored over Westwood. Crockett is favored over Elkhart.

 

 

 

12-3AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Woodville, 2-East Chambers, 3-Buna, 4-Orangefield.

Last week Woodville, East Chambers, and Buna won as expected. But in an upset that might impact the final playoff spot, Hardin edged Orangefield by 2.

The top three teams remain intact, but the Hardin win over Orangefield creates a three team scramble for 4th at the moment.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Woodville, 2-East Chambers, 3-Buna, with Hardin, Anahuac, and Orangefield competing for 4th.

This week Woodville is a heavy favorite over Orangefield. East Chambers is a heavy favorite over Buna. Kirbyville is a heavy favorite over Warren.

The key game this week will go a good ways in sorting out who can compete for 4th as Anahuac travels to Hardin. Calpreps favors Hardin by 5. Massey Ratings favors Anahuac by 6. To me this is true pick ‘em game. So let’s look at common opponents. Anahuac beat Kirbyville by 6 while Hardin beat Kirbyville by 14. Anahuac beat Warren by 71 while Hardin beat Warren by 42. To me this game is too close to call.

 

 

 

13-3AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Rice, 2-Columbus, with Hitchcock and Boling competing for 3rd and 4th.

Columbus and Hitchcock won as expected. And Rice won by 33 in the key game of the week.

No need to change the order… yet.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Rice, 2-Columbus, with Hitchcock and Boling competing for 3rd and 4th.

This week Columbus is a favorite over Hempstead. Boling is a favorite over Palacios.

The key game this week is Rice/ Hitchcock. Calpreps favors Rice by 8. Massey Ratings favors Rice by 6. Give me Rice by 6.

 

 

 

12-3AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Newton, 2-Corrigan-Camden, 3-Anderson-Shiro, 4- Hemphill.

Newton, Corrigan-Camden, and Anderson-Shiro all won as expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Newton, 2-Corrigan-Camden, 3-Anderson-Shiro, 4- Hemphill.

This week Newton is heavily favored over New Waverly. Corrigan-Camden is favored over Anderson-Shiro. Hemphill is favored over Kountze.

 

 

 

14-3AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-East Bernard, 2-Van Vleck, and Schulenberg and Tidehaven competing for 3rd and 4th.

Last Week East Bernard, Van Vleck, And Danbury all won as expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-East Bernard, 2-Van Vleck, and Schulenberg and Tidehaven competing for 3rd and 4th.

This week East Bernard is heavily favored over Bloomington. Van Vleck is heavily favored over Ganado. Danbury is on a bye week.

The key game of the week is Schulenburg/ Tidehaven which should decide 3rd and 4th place in district. Calpreps favors Schulenburg by 10. Massey Rating favors Tidehaven by 7. I see this as a toss-up and don’t see anything in common opponents to help. I’m going to call this one too close to call.

 

 

 

12-2AD1

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1- San Augustine, 2- Shelbyville, with Groveton, Hull-Daisetta, West Sabine, and Deweyville battling for 3rd and 4th.

San Augstine and Shelbyville won as expected. In the key game, Hull-Daisetta beat Deweyville 37-14.

I’m ready to drop Deweyville out of the competition for 4th.

My Predicted Order Now: 1- San Augustine, 2- Shelbyville, with Groveton, Hull-Daisetta, and West Deweyville battling for 3rd and 4th.

This week San Augustine is favored over West Sabine. Groveton is favored over Deweyville.

The key game this week is Shelbyville/ Hull Daisetta. Calpreps favors Hull-Daiestta by 1. Massey Ratings favors Shelbyville by 6. Give me Shelbyville by 3.

 

 

 

12-2AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Lovelady, 2-Grapeland, 3-Evadale, and Colmesneil and West Hardin competing for 4th.

Grapeland pulled the upset over Lovelady by 14. West Hardin beat Colmesneil by 51.

Time to revamp the order.

My Predicted Order Now: 1-Grapeland, 2-Lovelady, 3-Evadale, 4-West Hardin.

This week Grapeland and Colmesneil are on byes. Lovelady is heavily favored over West Hardin. Evadale is heavily favored over Burkeville.

 

 

 

14-2AD2

Last Week’s Predicted Order: 1-Burton, 2-Snook, 3-Flatonia, 4-Louise.

Burton and Flatonia won as expected.

My Predicted Order Remains: 1-Burton, 2-Snook, 3-Flatonia, 4-Louise.

This week Burton is on a bye. Both games this week have meaning. Snook/ Flatonia should decide 2nd and 3rd place. While Louise/ Somerville should decide 4th and 5th.

Snook/Flatonia: Calpreps favors Snook by 14. Massey Ratings favors Snook by 14. Give me Snook by 14.

Louise/ Somerville: Calpreps favors Louise by 19.Masey Ratings favors Louise by 20. Give me Louise by 14.

 

 

 

 

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Simply put I am a fan of Texas high school football. I attend as many high school football games as I can - 82 games in 2017, 86 games in 2018, 76 games in 2019. I also have some limited computer skills and I use those to provide information to the #txhsfb community. I am always looking for new ways to provide information to the #txhsfb community. If you have ideas and suggestions, tag or DM me on Twitter.

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